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FROM THE EDITOR:


                                How to avoid the devastation





                                Is climate change to blame for the devastating floods in Austria, Belgium and
                                Germany? The European authorities and scientific community are saying a
                                resounding “yes!”. How can we prevent the same scenes from being replayed here?

        by Roger Lilley, Now Media



             he dramatic visuals which played out on our TV screens   they are unwittingly resorting to the age-old problem of short-
             over the weekend demonstrate just how much damage   term gains with long-term losses.
        Tour industrialised era has done to the atmosphere.        So why are Germany and her neighbours at risk of severe
           There are still many nay-sayers regarding climate change.   weather events as we witnessed in the middle of July? After
        Some claim that we are experiencing a natural cycle which   all, unlike London in 1952 and Pennsylvania in 1948, this event
        is extremely long and would have brought the floods we see   – which struck Austria, Belgium and Germany – occurred in
        now, anyway.                                            summer.
           But we must reject that idea. Firstly, let’s look back just   Firstly, it should be noted that the region has experienced
        seventy years to 1952. For a few days in December of that   severe heat waves, storms and droughts since the summer
        year, London was covered in a dense fog. The airport was   of 2018. So these floods are part of a developing problem.
        closed, traffic ground to halt, people were injured by walking   In fact, a recent report shows that Germany’s atmospheric
                                                                                                        th
        into “invisible” objects and stepping off the curb and falling   temperature has increased by 1,5° since the late 19
        into the street. Some died from accidents, while others simply   century.
        choked to death. The smog was so thick that it was literally   The industrial revolution began in the mid-18  century and
                                                                                                      th
        impossible to see one’s hand in front of one’s face. History   reached its peak in the mid-19  century. Germany became
                                                                                        th
        records that 12 000 people died in that smog.           highly industrialised between 1830 and 1873.The link between
                                                                the growth of industrialisation and the rise in atmospheric
        What caused this phenomenon?                            temperature in the region is easy to see.
        According to experts consulted at the time, the cause was   Not that industry is a bad thing – far from it. But
        man-made. That is, the problem was caused by pollution. The   industrialisation without care for the environment is indeed a
        event happened in winter when people burnt coal to warm   bad thing.
        their homes and businesses. The pollution from coal-fires
        caused a chemical reaction which became an acidic cocktail   What about South Africa?
        with deadly consequences.                               South Africa’s highveld has very poor air quality. In fact, we
           The 1952 smog led to the UK changing its air-quality laws.  published an article in May this year regarding the “Deadly
           But the London smog of 1952 was not unique. A similar   air” court case. In that court case, the applicants claim that,
        event occurred in Pennsylvania on 31 October 1948. It was   by failing to improve the deadly levels of air pollution in the
        the worst air pollution disaster in US history. It resulted in   Highveld Priority Area (HPA), the South African government has
        officials taking more interest in the environment and public   violated the Constitutional right to a healthy environment for
        health. It also drew attention to the need for industrial   the people living and working in the HPA. They are asking the
        regulation.                                             court to order the government to take further steps to improve
           Industrial regulation, to reduce industrial air pollution, was   the air quality in the area.
        very unpopular, as it made businesspeople spend money on   The terrible scenes of devastation and loss of life in Austria,
        “clean energy” which was more expensive than coal, wood   Belgium and Germany are truly saddening. But the images
        and oil.                                                we saw should strengthen our resolve to make every effort to
           The same resistance exists today. Some people refuse to   reduce greenhouse gas emissions. We can best do that by
        accept that the energy transition will avert climatic change.   rapidly decarbonising our methods of electricity generation.
        They look for short-term economic interests, ignoring long-  We must reduce the number of cars on the road by investing
        term consequences. But they would never admit as much.   heavily in a reliable, cost-effective, and efficient public
        Rather, they claim to speak knowingly of the disadvantages of   transport system. In time, we should rebuild our rail network to
        the variability of wind and solar, claiming that industry needs   transport containers and other large loads and thereby reduce
        “base load” power and cannot manage with variances. When   our reliance on diesel-powered freight trucks.    n
        faced with scientific and technical solutions, they immediately
        start talking about the cost of energy storage. By so doing,   Send your comments to rogerl@nowmedia.co.za



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