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FROM THE EDITOR:



                                  Government’s conundrum


                                  regarding Eskom



        by Roger Lilley, Now Media




                    he South African government is faced with a     before the damage inflicted by the Covid-19 pandemic – and
                    conundrum regarding Eskom. It must transition   has caused an increase in unemployment.
               Tfrom a carbon-based power generation system to         This led to the government’s Renewable Energy
               renewable energy or at least to a clean-burning carbon-  Independent Power Producers Procurement Programme in
               based technology, such as natural gas, to comply with the   2011, which was essentially an invitation to the private sector
               requirements of the Paris Agreement. It must also urgently   to generate additional electricity for the country.
               reindustrialise the country to create jobs. Electricity is the key   But electricity generation is not the only source of
               to industrialisation. And although Eskom has received big   carbon emissions. Road transport (cars and trucks) in
               bailouts before, the utility is still drowning in debt. Government   South Africa contributed approximately 13% of total CO 2
               must either allow Eskom to continue to struggle to “keep the   emissions in 2020.
               lights on” or come to the rescue.                       However, just as the transition from coal-fired to
                  South Africa’s electricity sector is in a state of flux.   renewable energy sourced electricity cannot happen
               Most of the state-owned generation infrastructure, which   overnight, so too a rapid transition from petrol- and diesel-
               is both ageing and largely polluting, must transition to new,   powered vehicles to electric vehicles – as many other
               cleaner technologies in order to comply with Government’s   countries are doing – is impossible for South Africa, primarily
               commitment to the Paris Agreement.                   because it lacks the necessary charging infrastructure and the
                  South Africa, as a signatory to the Paris Agreement, is   availability of electricity.
               legally bound by this international treaty on climate change   It seems then, that the solution must be for the
               to reduce its CO 2 emissions. The country is one of 196   government to take over Eskom’s R402-billion debt, thereby
               Parties which adopted the Agreement at COP 21 in Paris, on   providing the power utility with the capacity to upgrade
               12 December 2015.                                    and install the necessary pollution-mitigating equipment to
                  It has been reported that Eskom’s power stations   its existing coal-fired power plants from its balance sheet,
               contribute about 60% of the country’s carbon emissions.   without robbing the country of electricity. It might also result
               But to transition to new clean technologies is no easy matter.   in finally reaching the goal of universal access to electricity in
               Eskom cannot simply close its coal-fired power stations and   South Africa.
               build new ones in their place. Neither can the power utility   However, while this might seem logical, there are other
               retrofit the necessary pollution-mitigating equipment to its   challenges. Could Eskom’s transmission and distribution
               existing power stations due to the high cost of this equipment.  networks cope with more power being injected at new points?
                  The power utility’s current chief executive, Andre de   We have already heard Eskom’s Transmission division’s
               Ruyter, is in a bind. Not only is his fleet of power stations –   insistence that it can accept no more power injection in the
               with the exception of two new power stations – old and dirty,   Northern Cape province.
               but he is prevented from addressing the problem by being   But perhaps, if the power utility’s load of debt were to be
               weighed down with an enormous debt burden.           removed from its shoulders, there would be money available
                  The question which is frequently asked is whether the   for the strengthening of the transmission system so that more
               state, as Eskom’s sole shareholder, should absorb the debt   power from the private sector could indeed be injected into it.
               – or at least a very large portion of it – and enable Eskom to   However, if government took over Eskom’s debt, other
               focus on upgrading, replacing, or retro-fitting the equipment   services would suffer. The reality is that there’s only so much
               which would reduce the carbon-emission problem from its   money to go round.
               own revenue. This would also provide the necessary funds to   One way or another, the government must decide what to
               improve the utility’s dangerously low energy availability factor.   do. Eskom keeps saying that it cannot survive on its current
                  While this is going on, the private sector could get   revenue because it spends too much servicing its debt. But if
               involved in the generation of more electricity now that the   government takes on Eskom’s debt, which other areas would
               licence-free threshold has been increased to 100 MW. This   suffer? Or would it increase tax or VAT to pay for it? One way
               too, would have an impact on Eskom, since it will suffer from   or another it seems likely that South Africans can expect to
               losing sales to its “competitors”.                   pay more for the electricity they consume.
                  It has been shown that the current shortage of electricity
               has had a negative impact of the country’s economy – long   Send your comments to rogerl@nowmedia.co.za



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