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VIEWS AND OPINION


        A case for a net zero carbon economy



        Information from SAWEA

             head of the 2021 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
             26th Conference of Parties, referred to as COP26, the South African Wind Energy
        AAssociation (SAWEA) has explained the role of renewable energy, as South Africa prepares
        for a net zero carbon economy.
           “South Africa’s Low-Emission Development Strategy, backed by President Ramaphosa, was
        formulated last year and commits to moving towards a goal of net zero carbon emissions by
        2050, which will require various interventions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,” explained
        Ntombifuthi Ntuli, CEO of SAWEA.
           President Ramaphosa reaffirmed this commitment in his recent State of the Nation
        Address (SONA), stating that Eskom, which is the country’s largest greenhouse gas emitter, has
        committed in principle to net zero emissions and to increase its renewable capacity. This was
        followed by the presidential co-ordinating commission on climate change meeting for the first
        time, last month, to work on a plan for a just transition to a low-carbon economy and climate
        resilient society.                                                        Ntombifuthi Ntuli
           “The energy sector contributes close to 80% towards the country’s total greenhouse gas
        (GHG) emissions of which 50% are from electricity generation and liquid fuel production alone,
        hence investments in renewable energy, energy efficiency and public transport, in line with the   Although the published IRP 2019 goes
        country’s energy roadmap, the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) 2019, is the key to reducing GHG   up to 2030, it is assumed that wind power
        emissions,” added Ntuli.                                                  will constitute an even bigger share of new
           Wind energy is given the opportunity to play a leading role, and it is widely agreed that the   generation capacity beyond 2030, as the first
        country, as well as its economy and workforce will benefit from a net zero future. This is easy to   wind farms will commence decommissioning
        understand considering that the installed capacity of 3,3 GW of wind power has reduced carbon   from 2034 onward; this will create a capacity
        emissions by 28,8 Mt CO2 to date.                                         gap that will be closed by building more wind
           It is no surprise then, that the increase in renewable energy capacity has been prioritised   power capacity. This transition project should
        in the country’s key planning documents, starting with the National Development Plan which   result in a total emission reduction budget
        commits to the procurement of 30 GW of renewable energy by 2030, supported by the IRP2019,   for the entire electricity sector up to 2050 of
        which commits to the procurement of 14,4 GW of wind by 2030.              5470 Mt CO2 cumulatively, according to the
           This commitment is further supported by the Economic Reconstruction & Recovery Plan,   IRP 2019.
        which outlines a plan to accelerate the implementation of the IRP 2019, to provide a substantial   SAWEA views South Africa as an ideal
        increase in the contribution of renewable energy sources, battery storage and gas technologies.   case study for large scale deployment
        This economic recovery plan will ensure that South Africa rapidly achieves decarbonisation of its   of renewable energy and wind power in
        power system over the next decade and beyond.                             particular on the African Continent.
           “We know that the key consideration for achieving net zero emissions by 2050 is that this   “We demonstrate that with the right
        massive transition of the electricity sector will reduce the country’s demand for coal resources.   combination of policy instruments, a
        The need to shift from a carbon intensive power system to sustainable power generation coincides   country can successfully develop energy
        well with the end of life of the ageing coal power fleet, rendering this transition process a natural   infrastructure and drive economic growth
        and gradual one,” added Ntuli.                                            that includes domestic and foreign
           In the long term, decommissioning of coal plants will increase gradually as they reach end of   investment, socio economic development
        life. The IRP stipulates a plan to decommissioning of 11 GW of coal by 2030, with a further 24,1   and job creation, all whilst driving down
        GW of coal power expected to be decommissioned between 2030 and 2050. This capacity will be   the price of electricity and reducing GHG
        replaced by a combination of wind, solar PV, battery storage and gas.     emissions,” concludes Ntuli.













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