Page 15 - EngineerIT June July Issue 2026
P. 15

CYBERSECURITY



        "Although the Q1 2026 ransomware
                                           1000
        trends are based on global data,                               927                         945
                                           900
        these findings are particularly
                                           800                                                801
        relevant to African organisations.
                                                                         730                     727  732
        In recent years, both the public    700                                                          684 707
                                                                    635     634
        and private sectors in Africa      600                603
                                                           541   534                    531  543
        have faced an increase in cyber    500                                    494  518
                                                     477                       479
        incidents that disrupt critical    400    407   387
        services, financial systems,            347
                                            300
        healthcare, telecommunications,
                                            200
        and government operations," says
                                            100
        Lorna Hardie, Regional Director,
                                             0
        Africa, at Check Point Software
                                                 Jun-24  Jul-24  Sep-24  Oct-24  Nov-24  Dec-24  Jan-25  Feb-25  Mar-25  Apr-25  Jun-25  Jul-25  Sep-25  Oct-25  Nov-25  Dec-25  Jan-26  Feb-26  Mar-26
        Technologies.                                  Aug-24                    May-25   Aug-25
        "Ransomware groups are no        Figure 1: Total number of reported ransomware victims in DLS, per month (Jun 2024 - Mar 2026).
        longer targeting only the world’s
        biggest economies. As the report   From fragmentation to consolidation
        shows, attackers now often       The most important change this quarter is not how many attacks occurred, but who
        target places where they already   carried them out.
        have access, not just the most   •  In Q3 2025, ransomware activity was spread across a record number of groups.
        profitable targets," she adds.   •  By Q1 2026, the number of active groups had declined
                                         •  At the same time, the share of victims claimed by top operators surged past 70%
        High Volume Is the New
        Normal                           This pattern is familiar. Law enforcement pressure, infrastructure disruption, and
        Check Point Research tracked     the competitive landscape tend to scatter smaller players. Stronger groups survive,
        more than 70 active ransomware   absorb displaced affiliates, and grow. In Q1 2026, groups such as Qilin, Akira,
        data leak sites during Q1 2026.   The Gentlemen, and LockBit together accounted for 41% of all victims, while the
                                         top 10 ransomware groups accounted for 71%.
         These sites were recorded:
          •  More than 700 victims per   For defenders, consolidation raises the stakes. Larger ransomware operations tend to be:
           month on average              •  More organised
          •  Minimal fluctuation between   •  More operationally consistent
           January, February, and March  •  More resilient to disruption

        At first glance, year-over-
        year (YoY) numbers suggest a                                                  Qilin, 338
        modest decline compared to Q1
        2025. However, that comparison
                                                  Other, 614
        is misleading. A single mass-
        exploitation campaign inflated
        last year’s figures. When
                                                                                                 Akira, 197
        that anomaly is removed,
        ransomware activity actually
        increased YoY.

        "The takeaway for business                                                               The Gentlemen, 166
        leaders is straightforward.            Sinobi, 80
        Ransomware is no longer driven
        by short-term spikes alone.            Nightspire, 82
        Instead, activity has settled into a                                                Lockbit, 163
                                                 DragonForce, 101
        persistently high operating level
        with consistent growth, creating                      Play, 121             INC Ransom, 133
                                                                         Cl0p, 127
        a risk environment organisations
        must plan for," Hardie says.     Figure 2: Top 10 ransomware groups by number of publicly claimed victims - Q1 2026.



                                                15 | EngineerIT June/July 2026
   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20