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INDUSTRY NEWS



           Updated Transmission Development Plan


                     projects up to 53 GW RE over the


                                           next ten years






        Information from Eskom

             uring the recent Transmission Development Plan (TDP)
             Public Forum, Eskom revealed that approximately 53
       DGW of additional generation capacity, particularly from
        renewable energy sources, including wind and solar, will be
        required for the period up to 2032 to ensure energy security in
        the country.
           This 53 GW new additional power includes the current deficit
        of between 4 GW and 6 GW. This is a significant revision of the
        TDP 2021, which based its assumptions for new generation
        capacity on the Integrated Resource Plan of 2019 (IRP2019),
        which proposed around 30 GW of new capacity by 2030.
           To accommodate this additional capacity, and on the
        assumption that obstacles to the implementation of the roll-out
        plan are removed, the transmission infrastructure would need to
        be augmented by approximately 14 200 km of extra-high voltage
        (EHV)lines and 170 transformers by 2032.
           Given uncertainty in the longer term, and noting that the
        Integrated Resources Plan, as a policy document, is currently
        being updated, Eskom is placing a strong focus on the
        implementation of projects over the next five years. The analysis
        carried out reflects a requirement of approximately 2890 km
        of EHV lines and 60 transformers requiring a capital investment   Segomoco Scheppers
        of R72,2 billion by FY2027. This requires that some challenges
        beyond Eskom’s full control, such as the lead time to obtain   transmission network capacity by 2027 are to be met, a
        servitudes, among other relevant authorisations, as well as the   significant investment of R72,2 billion will be required to expand
        resource capacity in the country, be urgently addressed.  and strengthen the transmission grid over the next five years. Of
           The updated TDP takes into account the deterioration of the   this amount, R50,8 billion is required for new capacity expansion
        energy availability factor (EAF) of the Eskom coal fleet, which was   projects to meet the reliability requirements, connection of new
        a key factor in the drafting of the IRP2019.           generation capacity and loads, as well as to acquire servitudes.
           The additional generation capacity requirements also   A further R21,4 billion is required to refurbish the existing asset
        take into account Eskom’s 2035 Corporate Strategy and have   base and procurement of production equipment.”
        considered the connection applications received from the   The TDP Forum is held annually as part of Eskom’s
        various procurement programmes by the Department of Mineral   transmission licence requirements issued by the National Energy
        Resources and Energy (DMRE) and applications received from the   Regulator of South Africa (Nersa), which requires Eskom to
        non-DMRE integration programmes, as well as input from various   publish a TDP every year.
        renewable energy associations.                            Eskom uses this forum to demonstrate its commitment to
           Accommodating this increased generation capacity means   openness and transparency, which is further reflected in the
        that a reliable and adequate transmission system is required   depth of information shared with the stakeholders for them
        to integrate and dispatch this new capacity to the load centres   to keep abreast of Eskom’s operations and to make informed
        across the country.                                    decisions.
           Eskom’s Managing Director for Transmission, Segomoco
        Scheppers, says, “The next five years are very critical for security   Contact Eskom, Phone 011 800-3433 / 5944 / 6050,
        of supply. If the TDP 2022 requirements to deliver an adequate   mediadesk@eskom.co.za



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