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VIEWS AND OPINION


                 SA needs a national priority project to deal


                                   with load shedding – now



                                           by Chris Yelland CEng, EE Business Intelligence



            outh Africa has been experiencing
            load shedding intermittently for 15
       Syears since 2007. In recent years,
        the hours and energy lost to load shedding
        (Figures 2 and 3) has been steadily
        increasing, whilst the energy availability
        factor of Eskom’s generation fleet (Figure
        1) has been steadily worsening. The trend
        continues in 2022.
           The impact of load shedding on
        the economy of South Africa has
        been devastating, contributing to low
        GDP growth and increasing levels of
        unemployment and poverty. The public
        and customers of electricity are tired of
        hearing about why we are having load
        shedding, and instead want to hear about
        how we as a country are going to end load
        shedding, and fast.
           It is quite clear that Eskom is unable to   Figure 1: Energy shed from 2014 to 2021 (CSIR Energy Centre)
        deal with this matter on its own through
        increased maintenance or delaying    of the Eskom chairman, board and workforce, as well as the committed support of the
        the decommissioning of old, poorly   new, democratically elected government of South Africa. In this project, under McRae’s
        performing coal-fired power stations.   stewardship, the word “problem” by Eskom people was not permitted or tolerated by the
        However, feelings of helplessness in the   project team. Only potential solutions were allowed to be heard.
        face of load shedding are completely   With the full support of government, municipalities and electricity customers, the
        unwarranted.

        Solutions are available
        There are indeed solutions available to
        end load shedding relatively soon, and at
        relatively low cost to Eskom and the fiscus.
           It is clear that load shedding in South
        Africa has become a national crisis,
        requiring a properly coordinated “Marshall
        Plan”, pulling in all affected stakeholders
        to become part of the solution. Failure
        to attend to the load shedding crisis
        could turn this national emergency into
        a national disaster – in the worst-case
        scenario, a national blackout with all its
        consequences.
           In the 1990s, the then Eskom CEO,
        Dr Ian McRae, conceived and initiated a
        similar national priority plan under the
        slogan: “Electricity for All”. The project
        received the overwhelming support    Figure 2: Hours of load shedding from 2014 to 2021 (CSIR Energy Centre)



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