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VIEWS AND OPINION


        A just transition could transform SA into a


        green powerhouse


        To adapt to higher temperatures, build low-carbon economies and create local green employment,
        significant global investment is needed.


        by Lucas Chaumontet, et al, BCG



              frican countries like South Africa   Working towards a just transition in
              face major climate-related     South Africa
        Achallenges, but at the same time    In South Africa, the just transition involves
        they have the opportunity to achieve   a shift toward environmentally sustainable
        sustainable low-carbon economies,    economies and societies for all. Such a
        according to a new report by Boston   transition must be well managed and must
        Consulting Group (BCG).              contribute to the goals of decent work,
           The report, titled “Building a Climate-  social inclusion and freedom from poverty
        Resilient, Low-Carbon, Job-Rich Africa,”   for all South Africans.
        identifies particular disadvantages that   Leaders must create sound plans
        South Africa and other countries on   for national climate resilience that
        the continent must overcome, but also   identifies solutions to their countries’
        their potential to become a model for   specific challenges and opportunities.
        transforming a power system based on   Challenges include a fossil fuel-based
        fossil fuels to one based on renewables.  energy system and high levels of   Lucas Chaumontet
           Although Africa as a whole was    inequality, poverty and unemployment
        responsible for only 4% of global CO 2   – but opportunities include vast, high-
        emissions in 2019 – with South Africa   quality renewable energy resources,   Green hydrogen, produced by
        responsible for 33% of these emissions   competitive production costs of green   means of renewable-energy-powered
        – it accounts for 35 of the 50 countries   fuels like hydrogen and net-positive job   electrolysis, will be an important enabler
        worldwide that are at greatest risk from   creation if the country can successfully   of decarbonisation across sectors,
        the effects of climate change. Even in   localise elements of the renewable   particularly in hard-to-abate sectors
        a scenario where average temperature   energy value chain and effectively re-  such as steel, cement, heavy-duty road
        increases are limited to 2°C, the costs of   skill the workforce.         transport, aviation and shipping. A key
        adaptation for Africa could exceed US$35-
        billion a year by 2050, rising to $200-billion
        a year by the 2070s.
           To make the transition to climate
        resilience over the coming years, the
        continent must attract extensive global
        investments in decarbonisation and other
        climate-related projects and must mobilise
        African leaders and the international
        community to realise those investments.
           “Collaborative action by South Africa,
        other African countries and the international
        community can advance sustainable
        development, enable Africa to emerge
        stronger in the burgeoning net-zero economy,
        and drive progress in confronting the climate
        threat—not just for Africa, but for the
        planet as a whole,” says Lucas Chaumontet,
        managing director and partner at BCG,
        Johannesburg and co-author of the report.  Figure 1



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